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Eurovision 2025 predictions: Who will win this year?

Eurovision 2025 in Basel is almost a month away, and the bookmakers' predictions are still taking shape. On this page, we bring you an overview of the favourites and an analysis of current trends based on the latest Eurovision 2025 predictions updates from the site eurovisionworld.com .

Please note that the graph is updated twice a day, not our comments 🙂 Add the site to your bookmarks to check the graphs regularly!

Austria and Sweden are still neck and neck in their chances of winning Eurovision 2025!

Sweden has been in the lead, alone, almost from the start, and the victory of KAJ at Melodifestivalen has only confirmed the trend. This Finnish group, who sing in Swedish about the merits of the sauna, has not finished making waves, topping all the stream charts on the platforms. Do we have our 2025 winner? KAJ is now in the lead, closely followed by JJthe Austrian candidate. On the release of his track "Wasted Love », JJ dazzled our ears with a "WHOUAH!!!! 🚨🚨 WINNER ALERT 🚨🚨 »! With a melody that's both ethereal and epic, backed by incredible vocals and a completely mad finale, this pop opera worthy of Nemo last year is a serious contender for victory. Wasted Love was written by Teya (Eurovision 2023) and produced by Pele Loriano (whose work includes Watergun from Remo Forrer in 2023 and Answer me from Gjon's Tears in 2020).

For the moment, JJ doesn't seem to be able to overtake KAJ in her chances of winning Eurovision 2025.


Eurovision 2025 Prediction chart, updated twice a day and limited to the TOP 7 for greater clarity.. Dataset: Eurovisionworld.com

% gained % lost

Variation in win probabilities over 5 days. Data source: Eurovisionworld.com


Israel, France, the Netherlands and Finland stable

After the public revelation of Louane "Mum » for Eurovision 2025, France's chances of victory now stand at around 11% in 3rd place. Next up are Yuval Raphael for Israel, Claude for the Netherlands, Erika Vikman for Finland and Tommy Cash for Estonia. All five have been on a fine run for a week now.

In fact, the chances of the bookmakers' top 7 favourites winning Eurovision 2025 have remained very stable over the last 10 days. We think that the pre-parties, in particular the one in Amsterdam this weekend, where the first vocal performances on stage will begin, should influence this ranking a little.

And at the bottom of the ranking?

At the bottom of the ranking, all the candidates are within a handkerchief of each other. In other words, the leading candidates are attracting all the attention. Note that our friends at Shkodra Elektronike for Albania, have maintained a solid and stable position over the past month.

Eurovision 2025 Prediction Chart, updated twice a day and limited to the last 30 positions . Dataset: Eurovisionworld.com


Eurovision 2025 is almost 1 month away, so a lot can still happen between now and then. The real changes will take shape when all the parameters are known. Pre-parties taking place in April are also an indicator to keep an eye on. In short, it's urgent to stay connected to follow the progress of the Eurovision 2025 bets!

What are your favourites and who do you think will win Eurovision 2025? Tell us in the comments below!

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