Eurovision 2025 in Basel is less than 30 days away. On this page, we bring you an overview of the bookmakers' favourites and an analysis of current trends based on the latest Eurovision 2025 predictions updates on the site eurovisionworld.com .
Please note that the graph is updated twice a day, not our comments 🙂 Add the site to your bookmarks to check the graphs regularly!
Sweden pulls ahead (again). Austria loses ground.
Sweden has been in the lead, alone, since almost the beginning, with the victory of KAJ at Melodifestivalen at the beginning of March only confirmed the trend, and the pre-parties didn't change a thing. This Finnish group who sings the praises of the sauna in Swedish is still the talk of the town. Do we have our 2025 winner? KAJ is now in the lead with a record 30% chance of victory!
JJ, the Austrian candidate, is losing ground. He dazzled us with his track "Wasted Love »! Wasted Love was written by Teya (Eurovision 2023) and produced by Pele Loriano (whose work includes Watergun from Remo Forrer in 2023 and Answer me from Gjon's Tears in 2020). With a melody that's both ethereal and epic, backed up by incredible vocals and a completely mad finale, this pop opera worthy of Nemo last year remains a serious contender for victory and we think that between KAJ and JJ, it will come down to the jury for one and the public for the other.
Eurovision 2025 Prediction chart, updated twice a day and limited to the TOP 7 for greater clarity.. Dataset: Eurovisionworld.com
Variation in win probabilities over 5 days. Data source: Eurovisionworld.com
Israel, France, the Netherlands and Finland stable
France's chances of victory with "maman" from Louane are now around 10% in 3rd position. Next is Yuval Raphael for Israel, Claude for the Netherlands, Erika Vikman for Finland and Tommy Cash for Estonia. All five have been on a fine run for a week now.
The chances of victory (according to the bookmakers) at Eurovision 2025 for the top 7 favourites have now been very stable for a month. It's almost boring! Even the pre-parties haven't managed to change anything.
And at the bottom of the ranking?
At the bottom of the league table, Red Sebastian finally manages to break through, while Shkodra Elektronike for Albania, have maintained a solid and stable position over the past month.
Eurovision 2025 Prediction Chart, updated twice a day and limited to the last 30 positions . Dataset: Eurovisionworld.com
Eurovision 2025 is less than 30 days away. What could happen between now and then that could change this ranking, which now seems firmly established? The first returns from the rehearsals will now set the tempo and perhaps change the bookmakers' minds.
What are your favourites and who do you think will win Eurovision 2025? Tell us in the comments below!
Czechia this year are great and also shout out to Slovenia, Azerbaijan, Albania and Armenia